Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
12.3240.9%
X3.5726.6%
22.9232.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
WWLDDLDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lecce
LLLWLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.20
Against
6.50
10.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.70
2.40
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded2.70
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Udinese conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.50
10.70
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.80
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%39.1%-1.8 pp
Draw26.6%34.4%+7.8 pp
Away32.5%26.6%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.391.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
2-210.9%
2-09.4%
0-29.4%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.67
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away33.3%