Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
12.3540.4%
X3.5426.8%
22.9032.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DLWWLWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Genoa
LLDDWWDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
12.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.70
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
12.40
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.60
Match total
5.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.70
Match total
31.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
6.90
On target
4.70
21%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%22.7%-17.7 pp
Draw26.8%27.3%+0.4 pp
Away32.8%50.0%+17.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.181.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.6%
0-213.6%
2-213.6%
2-19.1%
1-36.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.845.11
Average total10.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.547.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away15.4%