Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
12.3540.4%
X3.5426.8%
22.9032.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
DLWWLWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Genoa
LLDDWWDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
12.40
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
2.30goals per matchGenoa conceded1.70Matchup
Genoa attack
1.40goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
12.40
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.60
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.70
Match total
31.80
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
6.90
On target
4.70
21%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%22.7%-17.7 pp
Draw26.8%27.3%+0.4 pp
Away32.8%50.0%+17.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.18–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.6%
0-213.6%
2-213.6%
2-19.1%
1-36.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.84–5.11
Average total10.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.547.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away15.4%