Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
14.8519.6%
X3.9823.9%
21.6856.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LWDLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Milan
LWWLDWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.90goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.30
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.80
On target
5.80
15%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%35.7%+16.1 pp
Draw23.9%14.3%-9.6 pp
Away56.5%50.0%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.251.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
2-110.7%
1-210.7%
1-110.7%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.93
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away50.0%