Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
11.1880.5%
X7.4712.7%
214.046.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
WWWDWWWLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brescia
DLLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
3.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
3.20
3.00
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
2.00goals per matchBrescia conceded3.20Matchup
Brescia attack
0.80goals per matchLazio conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.00
Match total
27.40
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.40
18%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.5%73.3%-7.2 pp
Draw12.7%20.0%+7.3 pp
Away6.8%6.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
2.27–0.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-013.3%
3-26.7%
4-16.7%
5-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.20–2.87
Average total11.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away40.0%