Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
11.1880.5%
X7.4712.7%
214.046.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWDWWWLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Brescia
DLLLLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
3.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
3.20
3.00
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.00goals per match
Brescia conceded3.20
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.00
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.40
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.5%73.3%-7.2 pp
Draw12.7%20.0%+7.3 pp
Away6.8%6.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

2.270.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-013.3%
3-26.7%
4-16.7%
5-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.202.87
Average total11.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%