Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-28 · 20:45
12.0446.6%
X3.6725.9%
23.4727.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WDDWWDWLWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Napoli
WLWWWWLWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
10.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
10.80
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.50
Match total
3.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
28.80
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
8.60
On target
7.20
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%40.7%-5.9 pp
Draw25.9%35.2%+9.3 pp
Away27.4%24.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS63.0%

Historical average

1.671.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.4%
2-09.3%
1-09.3%
2-27.4%
1-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.00
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%