Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-28 · 18:30
17.8812.1%
X5.4317.5%
21.3570.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
DWWLLLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Atalanta
LDWWWWWDDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.60
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.10
Against
3.20
9.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.30goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.20
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.60goals per match
Parma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.20
9.90
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.80
Match total
28.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.30
On target
8.70
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.1%30.8%+18.7 pp
Draw17.5%23.1%+5.6 pp
Away70.4%46.2%-24.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS84.6%

Historical average

1.692.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-615.4%
1-115.4%
2-115.4%
1-27.7%
2-77.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.776.77
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%