Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 20:45
11.2675.3%
X5.8716.2%
211.138.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sampdoria
WDLWLLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
12.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.50goals per match
Juventus conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
12.60
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
22.90
Match total
30.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
8.80
On target
4.60
20%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.3%61.1%-14.2 pp
Draw16.2%33.3%+17.2 pp
Away8.5%5.6%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.440.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-216.7%
4-016.7%
1-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-011.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.613.67
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.561.1%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals53.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.3%
Away23.1%