Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 20:45
11.2675.3%
X5.8716.2%
211.138.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sampdoria
WDLWLLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.40
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
12.60
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.80goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.50goals per matchJuventus conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
12.60
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
22.90
Match total
30.40
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
8.80
On target
4.60
20%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.3%61.1%-14.2 pp
Draw16.2%33.3%+17.2 pp
Away8.5%5.6%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.44–0.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-216.7%
4-016.7%
1-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-011.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.61–3.67
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.561.1%
Over 11.538.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals53.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home92.3%
Away23.1%