Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 18:30
13.4327.7%
X3.5426.8%
22.0945.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
LDWWWWLWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Lazio
WWDWWLWLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.80
7.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.90goals per matchLazio conceded1.30Matchup
Lazio attack
1.50goals per matchVerona conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.80
7.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.60
Match total
26.30
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.70
20%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%35.3%+7.6 pp
Draw26.8%23.5%-3.3 pp
Away45.5%41.2%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS67.6%
Historical average
1.50–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.8%
1-28.8%
2-08.8%
1-18.8%
2-48.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.44–5.38
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away70.0%