Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 18:30
15.6816.7%
X4.2422.4%
21.5660.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Torino
DWLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
2.60
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.90
Against
7.50
9.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
2.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.60goals per match
Torino conceded2.50
Matchup

Torino attack

1.10goals per match
Spal conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.50
9.00
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
27.50
Match total
29.00

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.40
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.7%29.6%+12.9 pp
Draw22.4%18.5%-3.9 pp
Away60.9%51.9%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

0.851.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.8%
1-214.8%
1-011.1%
0-011.1%
0-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.676.07
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away54.5%