Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 18:30
11.6258.6%
X4.2622.3%
24.9819.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
LLDLWWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Fiorentina
LDWLWDLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
7.10
13.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Roma conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.10
13.50
Match total
11.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.40
Match total
25.60

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
8.00
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%47.1%-11.6 pp
Draw22.3%17.6%-4.6 pp
Away19.1%35.3%+16.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

2.471.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-023.5%
1-111.8%
1-35.9%
3-25.9%
2-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.714.06
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.4%
Over 9.570.6%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%