Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 18:30
13.6625.9%
X3.4427.6%
22.0446.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WLLDLLWLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Udinese
LWLLDDLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
7.10N=10
6.10
Against
6.30
9.90
Total
13.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Udinese conceded1.30
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.30
9.90
Match total
13.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.90
Match total
3.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.70
Match total
23.10

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.90
On target
4.90
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.9%17.6%-8.3 pp
Draw27.6%41.2%+13.6 pp
Away46.5%41.2%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

0.971.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-014.7%
1-214.7%
0-18.8%
0-45.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.246.21
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away60.0%