Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:15
12.3939.7%
X3.6226.2%
22.7934.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WDDWLDLDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Lecce
WLLLWLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.00goals per matchLecce conceded2.40Matchup
Lecce attack
0.70goals per matchBologna conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
32.40
Match total
26.90
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%56.0%+16.3 pp
Draw26.2%8.0%-18.2 pp
Away34.0%36.0%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS64.0%
Historical average
1.88–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-220.0%
3-116.0%
3-012.0%
1-08.0%
2-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–5.96
Average total10.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.552.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away41.2%