Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 16:15
12.3939.7%
X3.6226.2%
22.7934.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WDDWLDLDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Lecce
WLLLWLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.00goals per match
Lecce conceded2.40
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
32.40
Match total
26.90

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%56.0%+16.3 pp
Draw26.2%8.0%-18.2 pp
Away34.0%36.0%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.881.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
3-116.0%
3-012.0%
1-08.0%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.805.96
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.552.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away41.2%