Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 20:45
11.5760.6%
X4.4321.5%
25.3317.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
LLLWLWWWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Sassuolo
LLDWLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.40
Against
4.10
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
1.70goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.70Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.50goals per matchNapoli conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.10
8.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.80
Match total
30.20
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
8.70
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.6%64.0%+3.4 pp
Draw21.5%8.0%-13.5 pp
Away17.9%28.0%+10.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.552.0%
BTTS64.0%
Historical average
2.68–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-112.0%
2-112.0%
2-012.0%
1-38.0%
3-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.40–3.84
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.552.0%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.7%
Away50.0%