Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 20:45
11.5760.6%
X4.4321.5%
25.3317.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LLLWLWWWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Sassuolo
LLDWLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.40
Against
4.10
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.10
8.30
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.80
Match total
30.20

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
8.70
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.6%64.0%+3.4 pp
Draw21.5%8.0%-13.5 pp
Away17.9%28.0%+10.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.552.0%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

2.681.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-112.0%
2-112.0%
2-012.0%
1-38.0%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.84
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.552.0%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away50.0%