Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 18:30
15.0718.8%
X4.1622.9%
21.6358.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
LWLWLLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Inter
DWDWLLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.50
Against
3.40
8.70
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.30goals per matchInter conceded1.20Matchup
Inter attack
1.80goals per matchGenoa conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.40
8.70
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.50
Match total
26.60
Shots
8.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.20
On target
6.50
16%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%30.0%+11.2 pp
Draw22.9%30.0%+7.1 pp
Away58.4%40.0%-18.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.30–1.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.0%
3-310.0%
2-010.0%
0-310.0%
2-210.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–7.20
Average total12.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.580.0%
Over 10.580.0%
Over 11.570.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals5.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away58.8%