Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 18:30
15.0718.8%
X4.1622.9%
21.6358.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LWLWLLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Inter
DWDWLLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.50
Against
3.40
8.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Inter conceded1.20
Matchup

Inter attack

1.80goals per match
Genoa conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.40
8.70
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.50
Match total
26.60

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.20
On target
6.50
16%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%30.0%+11.2 pp
Draw22.9%30.0%+7.1 pp
Away58.4%40.0%-18.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.301.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
3-310.0%
2-010.0%
0-310.0%
2-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.907.20
Average total12.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.580.0%
Over 10.580.0%
Over 11.570.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away58.8%