Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 16:15
13.4028.0%
X3.7225.6%
22.0546.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LLDLDLDWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Parma
WLLDWDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.30
Against
6.10
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.10goals per match
Parma conceded2.00
Matchup

Parma attack

1.50goals per match
Brescia conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.10
10.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.40
Match total
26.10

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.00
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%33.3%+5.3 pp
Draw25.6%33.3%+7.7 pp
Away46.4%33.3%-13.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS83.3%

Historical average

1.421.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
2-116.7%
1-38.3%
1-08.3%
2-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.424.17
Average total8.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.516.7%
Over 11.50.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals27.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away65.5%