Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 16:15
13.4028.0%
X3.7225.6%
22.0546.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brescia
LLDLDLDWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Parma
WLLDWDWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.30
Against
6.10
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brescia attack
1.10goals per matchParma conceded2.00Matchup
Parma attack
1.50goals per matchBrescia conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.10
10.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.40
Match total
26.10
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.00
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%33.3%+5.3 pp
Draw25.6%33.3%+7.7 pp
Away46.4%33.3%-13.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS83.3%
Historical average
1.42–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
2-116.7%
1-38.3%
1-08.3%
2-38.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.42–4.17
Average total8.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.516.7%
Over 11.50.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals27.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away65.5%