Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-24 · 20:45
12.8633.4%
X3.8125.1%
22.3041.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DDWDWLWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Atalanta
WLDWWWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.80
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.40
Against
3.10
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.10
11.40
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.10
Match total
28.80

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
8.40
On target
9.50
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%28.6%-4.8 pp
Draw25.1%28.6%+3.5 pp
Away41.5%42.9%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.001.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
2-014.3%
0-014.3%
1-114.3%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.795.00
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals31.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away68.2%