Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-24 · 20:45
12.8633.4%
X3.8125.1%
22.3041.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
DDWDWLWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Atalanta
WLDWWWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.80
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.40
Against
3.10
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
2.00goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.10Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.80goals per matchMilan conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.10
11.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.10
Match total
28.80
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
8.40
On target
9.50
14%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%28.6%-4.8 pp
Draw25.1%28.6%+3.5 pp
Away41.5%42.9%+1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
1.00–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.3%
2-014.3%
0-014.3%
1-114.3%
0-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.79–5.00
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals59.1%
3+ goals31.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away68.2%