Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-23 · 20:45
11.4764.6%
X4.5720.8%
26.5114.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWWWDWWWLL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Cagliari
LLDDLLWDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
3.50
9.50
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

2.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.50
9.50
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.90
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
22.90
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.00
On target
4.60
19%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%56.7%-8.0 pp
Draw20.8%36.7%+15.9 pp
Away14.6%6.7%-7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.970.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-120.0%
0-013.3%
3-110.0%
5-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.70
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.5%