Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:45
18.1511.7%
X5.2918.0%
21.3570.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
DLLLLLLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Roma
WDWWLLWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
2.10
2.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.20
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
2.10
2.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.60
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Spal conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.40
Match total
5.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
27.90
Match total
27.40

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.70
On target
5.90
6%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.7%20.0%+8.3 pp
Draw18.0%20.0%+2.0 pp
Away70.4%60.0%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.302.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-420.0%
2-410.0%
0-110.0%
1-610.0%
4-410.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.20
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away84.6%