Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:45
12.5037.9%
X3.2629.1%
22.8733.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LLWDLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
DLLDDWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.80goals per match
Genoa conceded1.80
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.40goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
27.30
Match total
32.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
6.70
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%39.1%+1.2 pp
Draw29.1%26.4%-2.6 pp
Away33.0%34.5%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.331.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-013.8%
0-19.2%
2-28.0%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.55
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away53.8%