Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:45
12.5037.9%
X3.2629.1%
22.8733.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
LLWDLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
DLLDDWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.80goals per matchGenoa conceded1.80Matchup
Genoa attack
1.40goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
27.30
Match total
32.60
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
6.70
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%39.1%+1.2 pp
Draw29.1%26.4%-2.6 pp
Away33.0%34.5%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.33–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-013.8%
0-19.2%
2-28.0%
1-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.55
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals26.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away53.8%