Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:45
11.7953.0%
X3.9723.9%
24.1223.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
LLDWWLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Brescia
WDLLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
2.30
Conceded
2.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.40
Against
6.10
12.40
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
2.30
Goals conceded
2.90
3.90
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
1.60goals per matchBrescia conceded2.90Matchup
Brescia attack
0.80goals per matchLecce conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
7.40
Corners against
6.10
12.40
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.60
Match total
28.70
Shots
8.70N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%58.8%+5.8 pp
Draw23.9%11.8%-12.2 pp
Away23.0%29.4%+6.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS64.7%
Historical average
2.00–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-123.5%
4-011.8%
1-211.8%
0-05.9%
0-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.59–4.18
Average total8.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.523.5%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%