Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 20:45
11.4665.1%
X4.6720.3%
26.5014.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
DWDDWWDWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Fiorentina
LLDWLWDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
6.80
10.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.80
10.60
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
6.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
28.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
7.90
On target
5.30
18%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%53.8%-11.2 pp
Draw20.3%34.6%+14.3 pp
Away14.6%11.5%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

2.040.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.2%
1-119.2%
4-07.7%
0-07.7%
5-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.883.42
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away53.8%