Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 18:30
15.7816.4%
X4.2822.2%
21.5561.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LDWWLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Napoli
DWLWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Parma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
28.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.00
On target
7.10
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.4%22.7%+6.3 pp
Draw22.2%13.6%-8.6 pp
Away61.3%63.6%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.771.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.2%
0-118.2%
2-113.6%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.737.18
Average total10.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.559.1%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%