Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 20:45
13.4427.6%
X3.8724.6%
21.9947.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LDLWWLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
WLWWLDWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.20
Against
5.10
12.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.70
Matchup

Milan attack

2.00goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.10
12.90
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.30
Match total
4.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
28.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.80
On target
5.70
21%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%16.7%-11.0 pp
Draw24.6%38.9%+14.3 pp
Away47.8%44.4%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS77.8%

Historical average

1.331.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
1-111.1%
0-111.1%
1-211.1%
0-011.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.945.94
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away60.0%