Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 18:30
11.2874.5%
X6.0515.8%
29.799.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WWLDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bologna
WWLWWLWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
7.20
8.40
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
4.20
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
3.20goals per matchBologna conceded1.80Matchup
Bologna attack
1.80goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.20
8.40
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.20
Match total
30.00
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
7.90
On target
6.80
25%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%73.3%-1.2 pp
Draw15.8%13.3%-2.4 pp
Away9.7%13.3%+3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
2.60–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-113.3%
4-013.3%
1-06.7%
3-06.7%
5-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.93–3.73
Average total11.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.593.3%
Over 9.586.7%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.546.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.6%
Away72.7%