Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 18:30
11.2874.5%
X6.0515.8%
29.799.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWLDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bologna
WWLWWLWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
7.20
8.40
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
4.20
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

3.20goals per match
Bologna conceded1.80
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.20
8.40
Match total
12.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.20
Match total
30.00

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
7.90
On target
6.80
25%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.5%73.3%-1.2 pp
Draw15.8%13.3%-2.4 pp
Away9.7%13.3%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.600.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.3%
4-013.3%
1-06.7%
3-06.7%
5-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.933.73
Average total11.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.593.3%
Over 9.586.7%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.546.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away72.7%