Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:45
11.6756.9%
X4.0323.6%
24.8619.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
DWWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lazio
WWWDWWLWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
12.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.80goals per matchLazio conceded1.20Matchup
Lazio attack
1.60goals per matchJuventus conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
12.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.00
Match total
25.80
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
8.70
On target
5.80
19%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%54.3%-2.5 pp
Draw23.6%28.3%+4.7 pp
Away19.5%17.4%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS65.2%
Historical average
1.91–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.4%
2-213.0%
1-113.0%
2-010.9%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.33–4.02
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.7%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home86.7%
Away53.3%