Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:45
11.6756.9%
X4.0323.6%
24.8619.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DWWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lazio
WWWDWWLWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
12.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.80goals per match
Lazio conceded1.20
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Juventus conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
12.60
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.00
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
8.70
On target
5.80
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%54.3%-2.5 pp
Draw23.6%28.3%+4.7 pp
Away19.5%17.4%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

1.911.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.4%
2-213.0%
1-113.0%
2-010.9%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.334.02
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.7%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away53.3%