Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 20:45
13.0131.6%
X3.6126.3%
22.2642.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WLLDLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Inter
WDWDWLLWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.00N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.80
13.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.70goals per match
Inter conceded1.00
Matchup

Inter attack

1.90goals per match
Roma conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.80
13.30
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.20
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.00
Match total
26.30

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
9.00
On target
6.70
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%20.0%-11.6 pp
Draw26.3%30.0%+3.7 pp
Away42.1%50.0%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

1.251.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
1-115.0%
2-315.0%
0-015.0%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.354.70
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%