Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 18:30
11.4963.7%
X4.3621.8%
26.5614.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LLLLWLWWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Udinese
LLWLLDDLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
1.40
90%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
2.10
Against
6.30
8.50
Total
13.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Udinese conceded1.40
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
2.10
Corners against
6.30
8.50
Match total
13.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.40
Match total
2.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.00
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
8.20
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.7%61.3%-2.4 pp
Draw21.8%29.0%+7.2 pp
Away14.5%9.7%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

2.190.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.1%
1-112.9%
2-112.9%
3-39.7%
1-29.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.06
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away25.0%