Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 18:30
11.9050.1%
X3.7825.2%
23.8524.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LLWLWLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Lecce
LWLLLWLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.80
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Against
7.10
8.60
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded
2.60
2.90
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded2.60
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Genoa conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.10
8.60
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.60
Match total
26.50

Shots

7.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.00
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%37.5%-12.6 pp
Draw25.2%42.5%+17.3 pp
Away24.7%20.0%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.481.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
1-210.0%
2-210.0%
1-010.0%
2-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.38
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away35.7%