Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 18:30
11.9050.1%
X3.7825.2%
23.8524.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
LLWLWLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Lecce
LWLLLWLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.80
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.10
Against
7.10
8.60
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.80
Goals conceded
2.60
2.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.10goals per matchLecce conceded2.60Matchup
Lecce attack
0.80goals per matchGenoa conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.10
8.60
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.60
Match total
26.50
Shots
7.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.00
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%37.5%-12.6 pp
Draw25.2%42.5%+17.3 pp
Away24.7%20.0%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
1.48–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
1-210.0%
2-210.0%
1-010.0%
2-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.38
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away35.7%