Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 18:30
11.9848.1%
X3.3928.1%
24.0123.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DLWDLDDLDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Torino
WDWLLLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
7.70
9.20
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
2.10
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Torino conceded2.30
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.70
9.20
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
31.80
Match total
30.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.50
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%42.5%-5.6 pp
Draw28.1%26.3%-1.9 pp
Away23.8%31.3%+7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.451.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-113.8%
1-211.3%
3-010.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.50
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away59.1%