Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 18:30
12.3340.8%
X3.5027.1%
22.9632.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
WLLDLDLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Spal
LWLWLLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.50
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded2.10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.90goals per match
Brescia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.30
Match total
31.20

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%40.2%-0.6 pp
Draw27.1%32.4%+5.2 pp
Away32.1%27.5%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.431.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
2-09.8%
2-19.8%
0-07.8%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.87
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.5%
Over 9.563.7%
Over 10.553.9%
Over 11.541.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Draw FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away40.0%