Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 16:15
13.0031.6%
X2.9332.4%
22.6336.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WLDWWLLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sampdoria
LWDLWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.90
Against
6.60
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.50goals per match
Parma conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.60
10.60
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
28.70
Match total
30.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.10
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%30.0%-1.6 pp
Draw32.4%50.0%+17.6 pp
Away36.0%20.0%-16.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.200.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.0%
1-220.0%
2-020.0%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.905.20
Average total8.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.530.0%
Over 9.510.0%
Over 10.510.0%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%18.2%–43.2% CI
Draw FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI
Away FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.6%
Away56.3%