Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 16:15
13.0031.6%
X2.9332.4%
22.6336.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
WLDWWLLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sampdoria
LWDLWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.90
Against
6.60
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.10goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.80Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.50goals per matchParma conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.60
10.60
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
28.70
Match total
30.70
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.10
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%30.0%-1.6 pp
Draw32.4%50.0%+17.6 pp
Away36.0%20.0%-16.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.20–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-130.0%
1-220.0%
2-020.0%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
2.90–5.20
Average total8.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.530.0%
Over 9.510.0%
Over 10.510.0%
Over 11.510.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%18.2%–43.2% CI
Draw FT27.1%16.6%–41.0% CI
Away FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.6%
Away56.3%