Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 20:45
11.5362.3%
X4.4421.5%
25.9016.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DDDWDWLWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Bologna
LWWLWWLWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
2.00
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.60
Against
6.90
11.20
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.60goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.90
11.20
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
27.20
Match total
30.00

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.40
On target
7.20
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%73.3%+11.0 pp
Draw21.5%13.3%-8.2 pp
Away16.2%13.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

2.571.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-013.3%
3-113.3%
4-210.0%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.434.17
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%