Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 18:30
13.1730.0%
X3.7525.4%
22.1344.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WWLLDLLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sassuolo
WLLDWLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.80
Against
4.50
10.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.60goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.50
10.10
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.50
Match total
30.60

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.60
On target
5.20
18%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.0%25.0%-5.0 pp
Draw25.4%25.0%-0.4 pp
Away44.6%50.0%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS81.3%

Historical average

1.311.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.8%
1-118.8%
1-312.5%
1-012.5%
2-312.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.315.19
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away58.3%