Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 16:15
16.8114.0%
X5.1218.6%
21.4167.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WLDWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Atalanta
DWLDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.70
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.70
Against
2.50
8.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.70goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.50
8.10
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.20
Match total
29.00

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.90
On target
9.10
20%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%30.0%+16.0 pp
Draw18.6%20.0%+1.4 pp
Away67.5%50.0%-17.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.102.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
1-120.0%
0-510.0%
2-710.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.40
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away70.6%