Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 16:15
16.8114.0%
X5.1218.6%
21.4167.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
WLDWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Atalanta
DWLDWWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.70
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.70
Against
2.50
8.10
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.90goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.00Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.70goals per matchVerona conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.50
8.10
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.20
Match total
29.00
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.90
On target
9.10
20%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%30.0%+16.0 pp
Draw18.6%20.0%+1.4 pp
Away67.5%50.0%-17.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.10–2.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-220.0%
1-120.0%
0-510.0%
2-710.0%
1-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–6.40
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away70.6%