Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:45
18.9810.6%
X5.3717.7%
21.3371.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Inter
WWDWDWLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
6.00
Against
4.00
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.60goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.70goals per match
Spal conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.00
10.10
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
28.80
Match total
28.00

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.80
On target
6.80
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.6%12.5%+1.9 pp
Draw17.7%25.0%+7.3 pp
Away71.6%62.5%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

0.692.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
1-212.5%
0-312.5%
0-56.3%
2-46.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.886.94
Average total10.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%