Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:45
18.9810.6%
X5.3717.7%
21.3371.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Inter
WWDWDWLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
6.00
Against
4.00
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
0.60goals per matchInter conceded1.10Matchup
Inter attack
1.70goals per matchSpal conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.00
10.10
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
28.80
Match total
28.00
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.80
On target
6.80
6%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.6%12.5%+1.9 pp
Draw17.7%25.0%+7.3 pp
Away71.6%62.5%-9.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
0.69–2.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.8%
1-212.5%
0-312.5%
0-56.3%
2-46.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.88–6.94
Average total10.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away66.7%