League Two · 2021/22
2022-05-02 · 15:00
11.8849.8%
X3.3827.7%
24.1522.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WDDWWWDWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Newport County
DWWLLWWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.40
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.80
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.70goals per match
Newport County conceded0.80
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.00goals per match
Port Vale conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.80
9.70
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.20
Match total
20.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%54.9%+5.1 pp
Draw27.7%28.4%+0.7 pp
Away22.5%16.7%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.590.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-113.4%
2-011.4%
1-011.1%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.703.86
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%28.8%–46.6% CI
Draw FT44.5%35.6%–53.9% CI
Away FT18.2%12.1%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away40.0%