League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
12.1842.9%
X3.1629.6%
23.4127.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WLWWDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Exeter
WWWDLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
0.60
1.90
Total goals
1.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.40goals per match
Exeter conceded0.60
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.10goals per match
Northampton conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
12.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.60
Match total
2.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.30
Match total
18.30

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.30
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches517
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%41.8%-1.2 pp
Draw29.6%34.0%+4.4 pp
Away27.4%24.2%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.280.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-012.6%
0-011.0%
2-010.1%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.19
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=516.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.7%28.4%–41.6% CI
Draw FT47.4%40.6%–54.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.1%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away40.8%