League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
12.1842.9%
X3.1629.6%
23.4127.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
WLWWDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Exeter
WWWDLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.90
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
0.60
1.90
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
1.40goals per matchExeter conceded0.60Matchup
Exeter attack
1.10goals per matchNorthampton conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.90
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.60
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.30
Match total
18.30
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.30
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches517
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%41.8%-1.2 pp
Draw29.6%34.0%+4.4 pp
Away27.4%24.2%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
1.28–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-012.6%
0-011.0%
2-010.1%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.19
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=516.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.7%28.4%–41.6% CI
Draw FT47.4%40.6%–54.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.1%–23.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals10.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away40.8%