Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 18:30
12.1743.8%
X3.3628.3%
23.4027.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Torino
LWLWLLDWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
DDLLDDWWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
7.10
Against
5.40
11.90
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Torino attack
1.10goals per matchGenoa conceded1.60Matchup
Genoa attack
1.50goals per matchTorino conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
7.10
Corners against
5.40
11.90
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
32.70
Match total
31.30
Shots
6.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%50.0%+6.2 pp
Draw28.3%23.1%-5.1 pp
Away27.9%26.9%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS44.8%
Historical average
1.51–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.2%
1-111.9%
2-09.0%
3-08.2%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.47
Average total10.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.536.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away41.0%