Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 18:30
12.1743.8%
X3.3628.3%
23.4027.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
LWLWLLDWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
DDLLDDWWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
7.10
Against
5.40
11.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.60
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.50goals per match
Torino conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
7.10
Corners against
5.40
11.90
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
32.70
Match total
31.30

Shots

6.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%50.0%+6.2 pp
Draw28.3%23.1%-5.1 pp
Away27.9%26.9%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

1.511.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
1-111.9%
2-09.0%
3-08.2%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.994.47
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away41.0%