Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 20:45
13.6626.0%
X3.5127.1%
22.0346.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
DDWWLDDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Lazio
WWWWDWWLWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.70
Against
5.30
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Udinese conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.30
11.10
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.50
Match total
6.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
26.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.20
On target
6.20
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.0%22.5%-3.5 pp
Draw27.1%30.0%+2.9 pp
Away46.9%47.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.101.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
1-112.5%
0-110.0%
1-47.5%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.90
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away68.8%