League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-22 · 19:45
11.7055.5%
X3.7225.3%
24.9119.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WWDDWDWLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Colchester
LLWWLLWLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.50
Against
4.70
10.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.90goals per match
Colchester conceded1.50
Matchup

Colchester attack

1.20goals per match
Newport County conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.70
10.80
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.70
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches295
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%59.7%+4.2 pp
Draw25.3%21.0%-4.3 pp
Away19.2%19.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.730.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.2%
1-012.9%
2-111.5%
1-19.8%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.854.07
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=295.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.3%38.1%–58.6% CI
Draw FT35.6%26.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT16.1%9.8%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away36.8%