Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 20:45
15.1318.6%
X4.2022.7%
21.6258.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
WLDLWWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Juventus
WLWWLLWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.50
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
12.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
2.30goals per matchJuventus conceded1.60Matchup
Juventus attack
1.90goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
12.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.30
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.50
Match total
29.30
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.40
On target
5.50
22%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%18.2%-0.4 pp
Draw22.7%36.4%+13.7 pp
Away58.8%45.5%-13.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS36.4%
Historical average
0.91–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-018.2%
2-218.2%
0-39.1%
1-29.1%
0-49.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.18–6.82
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.554.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away66.7%