Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 20:45
15.1318.6%
X4.2022.7%
21.6258.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WLDLWWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Juventus
WLWWLLWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.50
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
12.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.30goals per match
Juventus conceded1.60
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
12.50
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.30
Match total
6.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.50
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.40
On target
5.50
22%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%18.2%-0.4 pp
Draw22.7%36.4%+13.7 pp
Away58.8%45.5%-13.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

0.911.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
2-218.2%
0-39.1%
1-29.1%
0-49.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.186.82
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.554.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away66.7%