League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
12.3539.9%
X3.3428.0%
22.9232.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
DWDDLWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Newport County
DLDWWLLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

2.00goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.00goals per match
Swindon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
9.10
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.30
Match total
19.60

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.50
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches425
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.5%+0.6 pp
Draw28.0%28.2%+0.2 pp
Away32.1%31.3%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.341.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
1-011.1%
0-19.6%
0-08.9%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.80
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%24.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT29.7%22.8%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away51.0%