League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
12.3539.9%
X3.3428.0%
22.9232.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
DWDDLWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Newport County
DLDWWLLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
2.00goals per matchNewport County conceded1.10Matchup
Newport County attack
1.00goals per matchSwindon conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
9.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.30
Match total
19.60
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
5.50
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches425
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.5%+0.6 pp
Draw28.0%28.2%+0.2 pp
Away32.1%31.3%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.34–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.3%
1-011.1%
0-19.6%
0-08.9%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.80
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%24.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT29.7%22.8%–37.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.3%
Away51.0%