Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 18:30
11.4466.1%
X4.6620.4%
27.0613.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LDDDWDWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Parma
WWLLDWDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
11.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.40goals per match
Parma conceded1.70
Matchup

Parma attack

1.50goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
11.10
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.80
Match total
26.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
7.10
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%73.9%+7.8 pp
Draw20.4%19.6%-0.9 pp
Away13.5%6.5%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.543.5%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

2.650.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.2%
3-113.0%
1-18.7%
3-08.7%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.043.87
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.3%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away27.3%