League Two · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
12.4438.4%
X3.2628.8%
22.8632.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WLWWDDWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Exeter
DLDWWWDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

2.00goals per match
Exeter conceded0.70
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.10goals per match
Newport County conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
12.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.80
Match total
1.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
21.40
Match total
17.50

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.90
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%35.8%-2.6 pp
Draw28.8%31.6%+2.8 pp
Away32.8%32.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.281.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.7%
0-08.9%
0-18.9%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.55
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.9%23.2%–42.0% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.2%–53.1% CI
Away FT25.3%17.5%–35.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away46.2%