Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 18:30
14.3022.2%
X3.8924.5%
21.7953.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LWDDWLDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Napoli
DDWLWWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
10.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
10.40
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
33.10
Match total
26.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.90
On target
7.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%35.1%+13.0 pp
Draw24.5%16.2%-8.3 pp
Away53.3%48.6%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.191.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.5%
1-213.5%
1-010.8%
1-18.1%
0-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.416.00
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%