Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 20:45
11.1483.7%
X8.7011.0%
217.895.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Brescia
LWDLLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.20
Against
7.70
9.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.60
3.90
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.90goals per match
Brescia conceded2.60
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.70
9.90
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
29.00
Match total
29.20

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
8.20
On target
3.50
21%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.7%90.0%+6.3 pp
Draw11.0%0.0%-11.0 pp
Away5.3%10.0%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

3.600.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-020.0%
2-020.0%
6-210.0%
6-110.0%
5-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

9.802.00
Average total11.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.580.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away35.7%