League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-22 · 19:45
12.3939.3%
X3.1529.8%
23.0430.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
LWLLWDDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Exeter
LDLDWWWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
7.90
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.40goals per match
Exeter conceded1.00
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.20goals per match
Port Vale conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
7.90
Match total
12.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.00
Match total
1.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
23.20
Match total
17.50

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.00
On target
6.70
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches461
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%38.6%-0.7 pp
Draw29.8%33.8%+4.0 pp
Away30.9%27.5%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.201.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-012.8%
1-011.1%
0-19.5%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.52
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=461.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.0%21.0%–33.9% CI
Draw FT48.3%41.1%–55.6% CI
Away FT24.7%19.0%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away43.8%