League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-15 · 19:45
12.2941.1%
X3.2628.9%
23.1330.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
DDWDDLWWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sutton
WWLLDDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.90goals per match
Sutton conceded1.70
Matchup

Sutton attack

1.50goals per match
Swindon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.70
Match total
20.20

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches583
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%40.1%-0.9 pp
Draw28.9%28.3%-0.6 pp
Away30.1%31.6%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.361.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-110.8%
0-110.5%
1-09.9%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.71
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=583.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.0%24.8%–38.0% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT29.9%23.8%–36.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away48.7%