League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-15 · 19:45
13.0530.8%
X2.9531.8%
22.5137.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stevenage
WDLWDWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Northampton
DWWLDWDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Against
4.10
10.20
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stevenage attack

1.30goals per match
Northampton conceded1.10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.10
10.20
Match total
6.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%35.7%+4.9 pp
Draw31.8%21.4%-10.4 pp
Away37.4%42.9%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.071.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.4%
0-121.4%
0-210.7%
1-110.7%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.644.18
Average total7.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.532.1%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.517.9%
Over 11.510.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away70.0%