League Two · 2021/22
2022-03-15 · 19:45
13.0430.9%
X3.1629.7%
22.3939.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
LWWDDLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Newport County
WDDLDWWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.90goals per match
Newport County conceded1.20
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.10goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.90
Match total
21.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.70
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%31.1%+0.1 pp
Draw29.7%26.6%-3.1 pp
Away39.3%42.3%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.041.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.7%
1-113.7%
1-010.9%
0-28.2%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.745.12
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%23.0%–41.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%23.0%–41.0% CI
Away FT37.4%28.5%–47.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away49.5%